2/15 – Rob Knight’s “Spring-like” Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

High pressure will continue to shape the forecast today, however cloud coverage will start making its way into the area beginning tonight. Patchy fog will be in the area on Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Stronger winds will begin to make their way into the area with breezy conditions starting tomorrow and lasting through Friday. The strongest winds will be on Thursday as a cold front moves through the area.

With a strong humid flow from the Gulf of Mexico, stability will continue to decrease prior to the frontal boundary. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has our area under a marginal/slight threat for severe potential.

Timing will be midday Thursday through Thursday evening before nighttime stabilization begins to decrease the risk. All forms of severity will be on the table with the greatest risk being small hail, strong winds, and the threat for flash flooding as very efficient rain makers will be in the area. South MS could easily see an excess of 1 inch accumulation Thursday afternoon. As the front continues to move east, the associated area will move out of the area Thursday evening/night.

By Friday, sunshine will move back into the area with a few lingering clouds through the weekend. The cold front will bring a significant cool down along with it as temperatures will drop down almost 20 degrees Friday. The weekend will bring sunshine and moderating temperatures in the lower/mid 60s.