2/1 – The Chief’s “Enter February” Thursday Morning Forecast

Winds will start to come around to southerly today for most of the area. This will help transport some moisture to the area but not enough for widespread fog. If fog is to form tonight, it will need the help from both advective and radiation properties. Night time radiation can take center stage to give the area some patchy fog. But only patchy fog as there is a large canopy of cirrostratus starting to move into the picture today and tonight which would slow the cooling process.

Timing of the next system remains very stable and is very similar to the last 3 days of model runs. Basically entering the west around noon Saturday and exiting to the east around mid-morning Sun. This will be the time for the heaviest rainfall. Only showers will begin during the day Saturday and slowly become heavier as the day moves forward. No severe storms are expected over land areas. Showers will also give way to isolated thunderstorms by Saturday evening with the most thunderstorms associated with this system found between 8pm Sat to 8am Sun. But once the main line of storms moves east, it does not mean all of the rain will exit to the east, just the heaviest rain and storms. There will be some hours without the light rain behind the front but most of the time Sunday through Monday. Light rain/drizzle will be found over the area.