1/22 – Rob’s “Approaching Cold Front” Monday Forecast

With an approaching cold front, cloudy skies and breezy conditions have moved into he area. The cold front now moving into W’tern Mississippi will continue to move east and affect the southern 6 mid-morning through early afternoon. Although the viewing area is under a SLIGHT THREAT FOR SEVERITY, the majority of the energy will stay north of Hattiesburg. The cold front will be east of the area by mid-afternoon with cloud coverage lingering through tonight. Once the front moves through, dry dew point air will move in bringing cool dry conditions and mostly clear skies Tuesday through Thursday with a day or two of thin upper-level clouds.

The general pattern is for a surface low to develop Friday into Saturday and move toward the area. Models are beginning to hint that the low will couple with a cold front as it approaches the northern gulf coast and kick out to the northeast giving somewhat lower land impacts but keeping marine impacts fairly high. Again, it will only take a slight shift of this low back to the west to cause the extended portion of this forecast to become more problematic. For this reason, we have left the extended with likely showers/t-storms chances for land areas by Friday into the weekend…with most of the strongest weather near the coast and offshore.