12/18 – Rob’s “Disruptive Weather” Monday Forecast

No major changes to the forecast this morning. Widespread fog is being observed this morning as a DENSE FOG ADVISORY is in effect through 9 AM this morning. The fog should slowly lift as showers and maybe a few thunderstorms pass through the area today….fog should develop again tonight. The stalled boundary over the area today will serve as the focus for precipitation. This boundary will slowly push northward and by Tuesday the axis for shower as storm development will be north of the area. The next disturbance will move through the area early Wednesday morning. This wave could be a little more potent. There is a chance for a few STRONG T-STORMS Tuesday night into Wednesday as this system moves through, with above normal Temperatures will be above normal.

We should be between systems Thursday which means a dry Thursday…and guidance then also points to another major system in the region this weekend. There is still a lot of uncertainty going into the Christmas holiday regarding the timing and strength of the next cold front. Guidance has had a tough time determining if we will be warm or cold for this system. That has a bearing on what kind of weather we can expect obviously. With that being said, I have maintained a blend in the latter part of the forecast period due to the lack of confidence in the long range forecast.