11/5 – Rob’s “Gray/Wet” Workweek Forecast

A generally wet pattern is going to develop across the region this week. Upper level troughing will remain in place across much of the country with series of shortwaves tracking through it. The first of which will be passing through the mid-Mississippi Valley today. A cold front associated with this trough will be approaching the forecast area from the north today. Coverage looks to increase across much of the area as the front reaches southwest Mississippi tonight but intensities will be on a downward trend.

The boundary will stall within the vicinity of the area Tuesday as the shortwave to the north races northeast. This front will provide the focus for showers and maybe a thunderstorm. Currently have rain chances ranging from 20% to 50% along the coast. As this boundary washes out Tuesday night, the next shortwave will bring another front to the area Wednesday.

This will once again increase rain chances. This time it appears coverage will rise into the likely category with rain chances upwards of 60-70%. Again, mostly showers with storms unlikely. Thursday will be a persistence pattern as the front will be stalled across the forecast area. It’s not until this weekend that the rainy pattern should finally be coming to an end.