11/15 – Brantly’s “Much Cooler” Sunday Night Forecast

A cold front continues to push through the region along and near coastal waters with very dry continental air moving into the area. Lows the next couple of nights should easily reach the lower to mid 40s inland and the mid 50s closer to marine influences. Highs will be in seasonably mild ranges, generally upper 60s to lower 70s through Wednesday as a re-enforcement of the Canadian dry air sweeps through Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Dry conditions will continue to prevail over land areas through at least early Saturday as high pressure ridge slowly moderates over the eastern U.S. The flow pattern eventually veers to easterly, which should allow some slow but steady moisture advection along the coast for some isolated shallow convection next weekend, along with inducing a warming trend due to the increased maritime influence. Away from the coast, some Appalachian drainage may affect morning lows on the cooler side in drainage prone areas. At this time, next mention of rain chances greater than 5% is Sunday night with the approach of another continental cold front for early next week. Even this will be a low end chance of rain in a relatively short window immediately along the cold front.

On the water, a moderate to strong northerly flow and building seas will begin late this afternoon and early evening in the wake of the cold front. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines will be need across the remaining areas. While winds are expected to subside over the bays and sounds throughout the day Monday allowing the Small Craft Advisory conditions to expire, a moderate to strong northeasterly flow will persist over the gulf waters through midweek.

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