10/6 – Rob’s Tuesday Afternoon “Increasing Clouds” Forecast
As clouds increase, Winds will remain NE with high-pressure to our NE. We will also remain on the dry side of this trough axis until Wed or Wed night. So conditions will be quite deceiving and comfortable until the deeper tropical air mass moves into the area.
By Friday, Hurricane Delta is expected to be moving into the northern Gulf of Mexico. While Delta is forecast to be a major hurricane in the southern and central Gulf of Mexico leading up to Friday, nearly all model guidance indicates that it will respond to cooling water temperatures and increasing wind shear by weakening some on approach to the coast. While confidence is increasing that Delta will reach its peak intensity before moving into the northern Gulf, we still can’t rule out a major hurricane at landfall.
Although the current track keeps Delta to our west, we must stay weather aware and have the hurricane plan update in the event the track changes.