10/3 – Rob’s “HOT & HUMID” Mid-Week Forecast
Very weak easterly waves will move through the northern gulf about every other day. High-pressure over the Carolinas should be able to keep most showers/t-storms activity from developing well inland.
Elsewhere, convective activity will be very hard to promote. More waves move through all the way through the weekend, and models are trying to keep high precip chances associated with these. The high-pressure in place will keep precip numbers trim just a bit in those periods for now. Even when fronts make their way through the area this time of year, the ridge is able to bridge the southern end of these fronts causing most if not all precip to dissipate most times.
Looks like the Caribbean could become a nesting ground for some tropical activity over the coming days to the next few weeks…this is very normal for October. At the moment there are no threats for the local area, but it is always a good idea to stay vigilant even as we move toward the end of the season.