08/10 – Brantly’s “Scattered T-Storms Continue” Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

 Along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, high temperatures will be in the lower 90s each day with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible daily with rain chances ranging between 20 and 40 percent.

The tropical disturbance we’ve been watching is now very near the Leeward Islands and it is expected to produce gusty winds and heavy rains across portions of those islands during the next several hours.  Satellite and radar data indicate that deep storm activity around the system continues to gradually organize in curved bands across the northern half of the circulation, but the system still seems to lack a well-defined center.  Therefore, the disturbance remains a potential tropical cyclone for now, but will likely strengthen into a tropical storm late tonight or early Wednesday morning. The next name on the list is Fred.

Over the next few days, the storm will track through the eastern Caribbean as a weak to moderate tropical storm with winds between 40 and 50 mph, based on current models. By the weekend, the storm should be close to entering the southeastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Keys. Beyond Saturday, models diverge on the track and intensity. We will have to wait and see how the system evolves throughout the week.

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