04/30 – Rob Knight’s “Dry” Thursday Morning Forecast

Dry high pressure has settled east of the continental divide and will remain in place for quite a while. Initially centered along the NW Gulf Coast, will migrate eastward slowly and park over NE Gulf Coast over the weekend into early next week.

This will allow for drier air through Saturday then a steady development of summer-like daily sea breeze regime but without the convective development due to lack of significant temperature differential. Temperatures should remain seasonably nice through the weekend.

Ridging over Texas that earlier in the week looked like it would build eastward into the Gulf of Mexico now looks like it will remain over Texas and may even build westward. This would leave our area in west-northwest upper flow from Saturday through the end of the forecast period.

A northern stream disturbance could push a front through sometime around next Wednesday or Wednesday night. Moisture never gets very deep and no real signal for significant convection, or even rainfall. I’m somewhat concerned about high temperatures for midweek next week, as models are running several degrees above current guidance.