04/15 – Brantly’s “Flood Threat Continues” Thursday Morning Forecast

Another active weather day can be expected with the potential for a few severe storms and localized flash flooding. A frontal boundary, pretty much centered over the area from east to west, is moving very slowly and dumping heavy rain across the coast. South of the boundary, temperatures are in the lower 70s, with temperatures in the lower 60s north of the front.

Several inches of rain have fallen across South Mississippi and Southeast Louisiana over the last several days. We will likely see an additional 2 to 4 inches on average between now and Saturday night, with isolated higher totals in stronger storms or in areas where storms train over the same locations for longer periods of time.

Another concern today will be the potential for another wake low system with gusty winds developing offshore across our coastal waters behind the main line of storms. Latest weather models are suggesting this potential, mainly impacting marine areas. Considering this potential, the National Weather Service has issued a Small Craft Advisory to cover the potential for strong winds. At this point, confidence in strong winds over land areas remains too low to issue a Wind Advisory, but this will be closely monitored.

This frontal boundary bringing several days of nasty weather should eventually move showers off the coast Sunday morning. High pressure will then begin to build over the area from the west Monday and will help us start a relatively dry weather pattern through at least mid-week. However, there will be potential for a few showers or storms to develop offshore each day.