5/30 – Night Rob’s “Scattered T-Storms Return” Monday Evening Forecast

Some spotty, heavier showers will approach the coast this Memorial Day afternoon and evening, but widespread activity is not expected. With a sustained southeast flow off the gulf, we’re back to humid conditions and elevated overnight temperatures through the extended period.

So, most of the short term forecast period will be dry, with a good bit of sunshine. A weak disturbance currently across the area will have the potential to produce at least isolated showers/storms during the day today, mainly near lake/sea breeze boundaries near the coast. Any action that does develop should dissipate quickly by sunset. A stronger impulse will work its way westward underneath the high-pressure and produce a better chance of showers and storms Tuesday afternoon with somewhat better moisture available. We’ll go 30% that afternoon and evening. Coverage of showers and storms will be rather limited on Wednesday afternoon, but we cannot eliminate the possibility entirely.

A weak front will move into the area Thursday and Friday, then stall and slowly dissipate. Storms and showers will be widely scattered along the front, as fairly strong mid to upper level high-pressure persists over the region. This will act to cap widespread activity. Any storms should linger into the early evening hours before dissipating as daytime heating and overall instability wanes. Potential for some stronger wind gusts to develop out of the deepest cells will exist on Thursday and Friday.

High pressure will dominate more next weekend, but isolated thunderstorms could still form along the sea-breeze boundaries each afternoon. Weekend temperatures will climb close to 90 at the beaches, and close to the mid 90s inland…