5/4 – Night Rob’s “Real Hump Day Is Friday” Wednesday Evening Forecast

Steady as we go with the forecast through tomorrow with the above-normal temperatures. The next impact weather will occur Friday morning around daybreak. Instability is definitely in play for this with the capability for a few strong or severe t-storms. Guidance suggests a squall line feature that will develop over northeast Texas Thursday night and begin an eastward march toward our area.
As this feature moves into our area around midnight going into Friday morning, we could see a few thunderstorms have some strong downbursts up to severe limits.  Even though tornadic activity has not been mentioned, there is an outside possibility of this occurring, but mainly to our west and northwest. The main concern looks to be damaging wind gusts. Heavy rainfall will be associated with these cells as moisture content will be close to 2″ as the front begins to fall along an east-west orientation as it moves close to our forecast area and stalls Friday. This boundary will at the very least be responsible for keeping Friday cloudy with a few lingering showers into the afternoon.

Models are in really good agreement (and they all agree) that this weekend and early next week will be hot.

Heading into the weekend, we will see the closed low continue pushing east through the Ohio Valley and then dig across the east coast and into the Atlantic on Sunday. A weak disturbance brings only a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm on Saturday.
High pressure will be to our southeast, and the combined flow around these two will set up more of a southwesterly flow over the weekend. This means slightly drier air (although NOT dry) which can heat up quicker in the afternoons. Highs will be in the upper 80s along the coast and into the lower 90s inland as building high pressure suppresses any rain or thunderstorms.