6/6 – The Chief’s “Scattered T-Storms” Friday-Eve Morning Forecast

The front that has been talked about is arriving this morning. This is more of a weakness at the surface than a front, but there is some forcing just above the surface with this and it should be capable of developing and gathering most of its showers/t-storms along its axis as the morning progresses. This boundary will press into the northern gulf late today before stalling. This should deliver some light northerly winds tonight will bring in some drier air. This morning, the higher moisture values are to the SE of this boundary with lower values to the west and north. The only thing that has remained is the precip field which is little to none. Now that the moisture field makes sense with the moisture depth, it is easier to allow for much lower precip numbers and so that is what forecast will advertise. One more day of showers/t-storms around then some drying out starting Friday. A few storms could be strong today, but this may be more over the marine areas.

A stronger dry air surge moves in for Saturday keeping precip numbers to the some of the lowest numbers when related to the last several weeks. A new cold front will enter the picture by Monday and move rapidly toward the gulf coast stalling along the coast or somewhere near it. This will bring another bout of showers/t-storms with it either late Monday or Tuesday. At some point the easterlies will win out as we press deeper into the summer and our rain chances will come more from easterly waves, deep surges of tropical moisture, strong coastal sea breezes or the other things.