5/1 – Rob Knight’s “Modifying Air Mass” Morning Forecast

Not much will change through the weekend as surface high-pressure remains settled over the gulf coast region with no precipitation and seasonably nice temperatures undergoing a day-to-day warming trend.

Upper ridging over Texas that earlier in the week looked like it would build eastward into the Gulf of Mexico now looks like it will remain over Texas and may even build westward. This would leave our area in zonal or west-northwest upper flow from Sunday through the end of the 7-day forecast period. A northern stream disturbance could push a front through sometime around next Wednesday or Wednesday night. Blended models have a dry forecast as moisture never gets very deep and no real signal for significant convection.