6/5 – The Chief’s “First Full Week Of June” Monday Morning Forecast

A very persistent pattern of afternoon showers and thunderstorms due to a boundary in the area will last through Wednesday, given that no significant change in the overall upper level pattern. Daytime heating interacts with boundaries like the sea breeze to allow for a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day. Activity will peak in the late afternoon and early evening hours when overall instability is maximized with peak daytime heating rising into the upper 80s with some spots in lower 90s. We stay dry overnight except for areas in the offshore waters.

There will be an upper level pattern change starting Thursday that will linger through Friday. Even though there is a pattern change afternoon showers and storms will continue to occur. On Friday a decent cool front is expected to move through the area, and this front will be the primary focusing for any convection that develops Friday afternoon. By the weekend, we continue to see rain chances in the afternoon increasing on Sunday.