6/23 – The Chief’s “First Weekend of Summer” Friday Morning Forecast

A stationary front overhead will begin to get displaced by an area of low pressure currently out west. This new disturbance will provide a new front that will start moving SE Saturday but won`t make it this far south. Locally, there should be a lot of similarities between yesterday and today. The current disturbance may move slightly north today. It will be along and south of this disturbance that the strongest thunderstorms should be located. But we cannot rule out a strong thunderstorm. All areas will have the possibility of getting heavy rainfall. That variable has and will stay that way until this disturbance is out of here. But then again, these heavy rainfall setups are pretty common during the summer for just about any given day.

The old disturbance moving north and NE, should be out of the area by Sunday. This will cause rain chances to lower but not be alleviated. A new front in the foothills of the Rockies will move SE and stall from the Red River Valley across southern Arkansas or just south of that area Tuesday morning. The eastern end of this front will continue to drape southward into central Miss/Southern AL later in the day Tuesday. This may provide a new corridor for a line of thunderstorms to travel from Tuesday through the remainder of the week. The main impact with all of this will be the heat once again as high pressure currently over western Mexico will move to center itself over or near Houston and the NW gulf by late Monday into Tuesday. This means that as this process starts Saturday, we will begin to tack on a few degrees to highs each day starting Saturday. Heat index values could begin to peak 110 for a few locations as soon as the weekend as well.