4/15 – The Chief’s “Quiet Weather Pattern” Monday Morning Forecast

The upper air pattern shows high-pressure extending from south Texas to the Dakotas, with an upper low-pressure centered near Las Vegas. At the surface, high pressure extended from near Bermuda westward across much of the northern Gulf of Mexico. A stationary frontal boundary was well to the north of the area near Interstate 70. Other than a little bit of cirrus, skies will be mostly clear across the local area today.

The axis of the high-pressure will shift to the east of the area on Tuesday, as the upper low near Las Vegas lifts northeastward to near Omaha by Tuesday evening. Southerly flow will strengthen a bit, especially on Tuesday, but moisture flow won’t really look to increase significantly. Other than somewhat of an increase in cloud cover, especially for a few hours around sunrise Tuesday, any sensible weather impacts should be limited.

With the upper low-pressure lifting into the Great Lakes Wednesday into Thursday, the upper ridge rebuilds along the Gulf Coast, with the surface boundary remaining well north of the area. Can’t rule out a stray shower or storm over southwest Mississippi by Thursday afternoon entirely. For the weekend, high pressure gets suppressed a bit southward. Models show several disturbances through the overall flow across the southern states Friday through the weekend. The strongest of these disturbances looks to be on Sunday.