4/14 – Rob Knight’s “Improving Conditions” Friday-Eve Morning Forecast
The cold front has moved east of the area but will continue to be a factor in the forecast through the Easter weekend. We could still be some lingering showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorm this morning along the coast, but most areas should be dry by afternoon. As the upper support becomes parallel to the surface feature, the front will become stationary just to the east.
Moisture never gets very far offshore, and as the surface high shifts east of the area, onshore flow returns on Friday with dew points rapidly returning to the 60s. The air mass will be moderately unstable, and as a disturbance moves through the Middle Mississippi River Valley, isolated showers and storms possible by late afternoon Friday. Any convection that develops should weaken or dissipate shortly after sunset with loss of heating.
A similar scenario appears to be on tap for Saturday and Easter Sunday, with any thunderstorm development mainly limited to the afternoon hours. A couple of differences, moisture through the atmosphere will be a bit higher on Saturday, compared to Friday and Sunday.