4/12 – Rob Martin’s “Next Severe Threat Tomorrow” Tuesday Evening Forecast
After some late-afternoon showers, more will arrive late tonight and could be heavy just to our west and northwest. They will weaken as they swing through overnight. It’ll stay breezy off the gulf and the warm nights continue as temps don’t stray too far from 70 degrees.
The breeze picks up even more on Wednesday, bringing in the warm humid air setting the stage for late thunderstorms. The next batch of energy Wednesday evening could bring a “SLIGHT” threat for severity to south Mississippi.(level 2 out of 5), although some heavier showers could pop up by late-afternoon.
The main threat tomorrow (after 6 PM) will be a few t-storms collapsing and capable of producing strong straight line winds. The bigger severe threat (level 3 & 4) will be northwest of Hattiesburg and up toward Jackson.
Damaging winds aren’t the only threat here tomorrow night; the front will not simply race by, but slow down as it approaches. Thus, the threat of heavy rain over several hours is possible into the wee hours Thursday.
The cold front will move across the area overnight into Thursday morning then stall to the east, leaving Thursday mostly dry after rain depart early-morning.
This front will then shift back north as a warm front, which will keep rain chances in the 30 to 50% range into the weekend, with the least chance on Friday and the highest on Sunday. No severe weather or problematic rain totals are expected Friday through the weekend.