4/12 – Rob Knight’s “Wet Pattern” Tuesday Morning Forecast

Today looks to remain quiet for the first half of the day but storms could begin to fire just to the west and southwest during the early afternoon. The mid-level instability will be the protagonist to late afternoon/evening storms. There is already a lot of lift moving across Mexico and that will move in through the day likely leading to some light showers until the stronger lift moves in later today. Moisture will not be a problem but one other thing that is concerning from a heavy rain stand point is the upper level jet structure. Severe weather is not out of the question either but at this time the heavy rain threat appears to be the greater risk.

Multiple boundaries north will keep the wet pattern in play through the weekend with several rounds of energy moving across the area. The next batch of Energy Wednesday afternoon could bring a “SLIGHT” threat for severity to south Mississippi. The main threat tomorrow will be a few t-storms collapsing and capable of producing strong straight line winds. A cold front will move across the area overnight into Thursday morning then stall to the east. This front will then shift back north as a warm front, which will keep rain chances around the 40/50% mark into the weekend.

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