3/9 – Rob’s “Warmer & Sunny” Afternoon Forecast
What a gorgeous start the week as comfortable temperatures and ample sunshine will continue. The surface high pressure responsible for the clear and calm weather lately has pushed east across the southern Atlantic coastline, with the northern Gulf coast on the southwestern periphery of the ridge allowing for a steady increase of Gulf moisture back into the picture. Temps will continue to warm with a few afternoon clouds in the area. Morning fog will become a factor Wednesday through the weekend with the elevated moisture flow.
Upper ridging over the Gulf of Mexico should keep any organized precipitation at bay through at least the daytime hours on Sunday as the next disturbance moves towards the SE. After that point, forecast confidence decreases. Question will be how much the Gulf ridge breaks down, with timing issues also creeping into the forecast. Best conditions for severe weather will obviously be to the north of the area, but we’ll have to keep an eye on things. A significant dry line will move through the area Sunday night. Could also be multiple rounds of convective potential from Sunday night onward into mid-week, depending on the eventual track of the upper low-pressure system.