Current overview early this morning shows the same subtle, nearly stationary front parked across the northern Gulf of Mexico. Not much changing today into the weekend as a weak surface high drifts off to the east.
Isolated afternoon pop-up t-storm chances slowly spread north each day beginning Friday and especially into Saturday as we begin see a steady trend in deeper Gulf moisture building north.
The build-up in temperatures along with surface moisture puts afternoon max heat indices in the 103-106F range, generally below Heat Advisory Criteria but will monitor guidance/trends closely in case anything changes.
Not much change to the extended forecast as models continue to be in good agreement that the upper pattern will flatten through second half of the weekend and into the work week. A weak trough…more of a weakness between high-pressure systems over the western Atlantic and SW CONUS will be left behind over the local area. In the lower levels, extension of the Bermuda high meanders through the northeastern Gulf keeping the local area in a generally onshore flow pattern with access to plenty of moisture.