2/14 – Rob’s “Sunny & Cool” Valentine’s Day Forecast


The cold front has cleared the coastal waters, but post-frontal moisture still producing some light rain in the outer waters early this morning. Arctic high pressure at the surface is currently centered over Missouri. Moisture will return to the area Saturday night into Sunday. This is likely to set up light rain as early as Saturday night, but also during the first half of Sunday.

I can’t totally rule out a light freeze tonight in well protected areas, such as the Pearl and Pascagoula drainage, if winds calm enough. Not a definite by any means. An upper-level disturbance over the western states will move into the southern Plains Monday and eject northeast through midweek. Moisture will return to the area again Monday into Tuesday with onshore flow, and a front approaching from the northwest.

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The trend will be on warmer side of guidance on temperatures, especially Monday and Tuesday. If we get enough breaks in cloud cover on Tuesday, a few spots could bump 80 degrees again. Wednesday highs will likely to occur before sunrise in portions of the area. Thursday morning lows will depend on whether clearing occurs, with warmer mins currently favored, as clearing not expected.