11/19 – Brantly’s “Calm and Warming” Tuesday Evening Forecast


After another calm and warm day, clear skies will likely continue through the overnight hours and Wednesday.

High pressure is in place and will persist through Thursday. This high pressure is bringing drier air and a bit warmer air into the region for the next few days. On Wednesday and Thursday, winds will primarily be coming off the Gulf of Mexico out of the south, bringing in some moisture.

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Friday and Friday night, a low pressure system will move through the area. Winds leading up to the event will remain out of the south, continuing to fuel moisture into the area. As a cold front approaches, there will likely be rain showers with the chance of a thunderstorm Friday and Friday night.

If the front remains weak like the models currently show, then the threat of severe weather would be low. The main threat if the front remains weak would just be rain and scattered thunderstorms. In addition, some gusty winds and frequent lightning would be a concern Friday night into Saturday as well.

Saturday afternoon through the beginning of next week, high pressure builds in, which will help to stabilize the atmosphere. In general, this stable air will help to dry out the area, so the rain chances are pretty low for the beginning of next week again and humidity will be low.

In the tropics, Tropical Storm Sebastien has formed but it will likely stay out to sea over the Atlantic Ocean and not affect land. It is a good reminder though that hurricane season is not over yet. Hurricane Season officially ends November 30.

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A native to the Gulf Coast, Brantly Keiek comes to South Mississippi from Pensacola, Florida. Brantly's passion for weather can be traced back to active hurricane seasons during his childhood. His interest in meteorology peaked when his hometown experienced back-to-back hurricane landfalls in 2004 and 2005. His desire to learn about the atmosphere led him to study at Florida State University, where he graduated with a Bachelor of Science in Meteorology and a Minor in Mathematics. Prior to graduating, Brantly also completed a year-long internship at WEAR-TV in Northwest Florida. Brantly enjoys the beach and looks forward to spending time on the coast. He was a competitive swimmer for nearly ten years and loves water sports. While in Pensacola, Brantly was a beach lifeguard for several years where he performed over 100 water rescues.


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