11/19 – Brantly’s “Calm and Warming” Tuesday Evening Forecast

After another calm and warm day, clear skies will likely continue through the overnight hours and Wednesday.

High pressure is in place and will persist through Thursday. This high pressure is bringing drier air and a bit warmer air into the region for the next few days. On Wednesday and Thursday, winds will primarily be coming off the Gulf of Mexico out of the south, bringing in some moisture.

Friday and Friday night, a low pressure system will move through the area. Winds leading up to the event will remain out of the south, continuing to fuel moisture into the area. As a cold front approaches, there will likely be rain showers with the chance of a thunderstorm Friday and Friday night.

If the front remains weak like the models currently show, then the threat of severe weather would be low. The main threat if the front remains weak would just be rain and scattered thunderstorms. In addition, some gusty winds and frequent lightning would be a concern Friday night into Saturday as well.

Saturday afternoon through the beginning of next week, high pressure builds in, which will help to stabilize the atmosphere. In general, this stable air will help to dry out the area, so the rain chances are pretty low for the beginning of next week again and humidity will be low.

In the tropics, Tropical Storm Sebastien has formed but it will likely stay out to sea over the Atlantic Ocean and not affect land. It is a good reminder though that hurricane season is not over yet. Hurricane Season officially ends November 30.

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