2/9 – Rob Knight’s “Warm/Wet Workweek” Tuesday Afternoon Forecast
Multiple stationary font tracking across the region in combination with modest moisture return has sparked scattered showers with a few thunderstorms. As the rain ends, temperatures will be ramping up, with highs topping out about 10 degrees above normal. Increased moisture still in place locally tonight will likely result in some light to moderate fog across the area.
The next approaching disturbance will bring a cold front towards the area late in the day Thursday. Rain chances reach around 40% midday, with some storms probably developing as increases. Coverage will ramp up Thursday afternoon through Friday midday as the front slowly pushes south across the area. Expecting nearly 100% coverage at times with the low potential for localized heavy rainfall.
Uncertainty going into Friday and the weekend continue, with the main forecast problem continuing to be passage of an arctic front. Ensemble ranges remain large Friday through Sunday. Regarding precip, still calling for precip to end before the cold air arrives, and thus not calling for any wintry precip at this time. However, if moisture lingers longer than forecast or cold air moves in faster than forecast, there could be a few hours of sleet or snow mixed in with the rain – mainly north of Hattiesburg.