11/25 – Rob Knight’s “Lovely” Thanksgiving Day Forecast
An upper level high-pressure that has been in place over the southeast CONUS will be suppressed southward today as a cold front begins to track though the region. Frontal passage will occur this evening/overnight time frame. Little has changed in expected forecast in terms of rain coverage and intensity. Activity will mostly be post frontal within a region of little to no instability. As such, I’m only expecting showers and weak ones at that. High pressure will build in behind the front on Friday. The combo of that and lingering clouds will yield highs several degrees below normal.
On Saturday, a cut off low that had been stuck near the Baja of California begins to move east into Texas before being absorbed into the pattern. As this feature moves into our area, some moisture will move in along with it. Chances for rain on Sunday peak in the morning hours. Newest guidance came up with a range of near 50% along the MS coast. The rest of the extended period is rather quiet as high pressure builds into the area and dominates for several days. Temperatures will be fall-like, with highs in the mid to upper 60s and lows dropping into the low to upper 40s.