11/25 – Brittany’s “Temporarily Rain Free” Friday Evening Forecast

Latest radar shows scattered light showers/mist across portions of the local area. Deeper analysis shows an undular bore/gravity wave initiated this activity by providing enough lift to support these showers. Expecting the showers tot persist for no less than a few more hours before dissipating. Once gone, it`ll remain a cloudy evening and overnight period. A saturated ground combined will enhance the potential for fog overnight and thus have added areas of light fog into the forecast. At this time, not expecting dense fog to develop but will need to be monitored.

An upper level low currently situated near El Paso will kick out northeast Saturday morning and track across Texas to Oklahoma and Arkansas. A cold front associated with the low will track east across Louisiana and Mississippi during the afternoon hours on Saturday. Initial lift from this feature will promote development of a wide swath of showers and thunderstorms. Excellent difluence aloft will then enhance intensity of these showers and storms as they pass across the CWA. Upwards of 1-2″ areawide can be expected and rain chances have been bumped up to basically 100%. Localized higher amounts than 2″ seem completely plausible. Those types of numbers and the fact that storms should be moving relatively quick don`t really support the need for a Flash Flood Watch, but will be continuing to monitor for the potential during later shifts.

After a gloomy/rainy Saturday, everyone will be rewarded with a spectacular day on Sunday. Skies will clear and temperatures will be mild with highs reaching about 70 degrees.

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