11/19 – Rob Knight’s “Cold Front” Monday Forecast

We currently have a weak low pressure near Memphis with a cold front across western Louisiana with high pressure over north Texas. Over the local area, mainly high clouds are noted. However, mid-level cloud cover is crossing into the area from western Louisiana. No significant precipitation noted on radar other than a shower or two over the far SW’tern open waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

The cold front will continue to weaken as it moves through the area over the next 24 hours or so. It will likely take most of the day for the atmosphere to moisten up enough for measurable rain to occur. The highest precip chances will be primarily across western portions of the region late this afternoon and overnight before drying returns to the area for Tuesday and the daytime hours Wednesday. Most rain amounts shouldn’t be much more than a half inch or so.

The next system will affect the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with one to follow that Friday and Friday night. The Friday system appears to be the stronger of the two at present. The Wednesday night system appears to be primarily a rain maker for areas to the south of the Interstate 10 corridor, with the Friday one to more likely effect the entire area. Really don’t see much in the way of moisture or warm air return ahead of the Wednesday night system, so any mention of thunder will be primarily over the western coastal waters. The Friday system will see a little more of the local area get into the warmer air, and will probably have to add thunderstorms to some portions of the area in later packages, most likely Friday afternoon/evening.