10/26 – Rob Knight’s Mid-Morning Monday “Tracking Zeta” Forecast

The forecast of Zeta will be the driver of this forecast as well. The only good thing as far as tropical systems go, is that this thing should be in and out quickly. This brings several things that would normally be bad with a slow moving system to the forefront. One is rainfall, rainfall totals should be lower than that of a system that would linger around the area. Winds will be strong but at least in short duration. Any areas on the east side will still have the overall threat of severe so not everyone will evade bad weather. And finally surge will still be an issue but surge depths are not typically as high with fast moving smaller systems. An approaching cold front will be the kicker to get Zeta through the area Wednesday and Wednesday night. This would put the most significant impacts across mainly the east half of the area during the daytime hours Wednesday into Wednesday evening. I expect watches to be issued later this morning.

Behind Zeta on Thursday, a minor disturbance will move through the Ohio River Valley, bringing cooler and drier air into the area with surface high pressure settling in over the weekend.

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