10/20 – Rob Knight’s “Rain Moving In” Wednesday Morning Forecast
A region of high pressure NE of the area is steadily moving SE’ward, allowing for more moisture to move in from the south. A weakness in the pattern south of the area is flaring up showers/t-storms moving NNE. This activity will continue through the day as an approaching cold front from the NW will move into the region Thursday. I’m expecting scattered showers and a few thunderstorms to develop today. Although there may not be more than 30-50% coverage at any one time, fully expect 60-80% coverage by the end of the day over the forecast area.
There’s at least some threat for strong to maybe low-end severe thunderstorms during the afternoon hours with small hail and gusty winds the main threat. Thursday a shallow cold front will begin to move through the region. There should still be sufficient moisture and instability to support thunderstorms. Clearing skies will occur Friday morning with sunshine by the afternoon.
This weekend, high-pressure centered near the Appalachian Mountains will aide in warm temperatures and sunshine. Moving into next week, forecast uncertainty increases drastically at this point.