10/15 – Brantly’s “Warm Today, Cooler Tomorrow” Thursday Morning Forecast

Starting off early this morning, we are starting to see a steady increase in flow off the Gulf thanks to a weakening area of high pressure pulling to the east.

Another pleasant day is on tap for the Gulf Coast. With southerly winds continuing to increase from the low-levels to the surface, dew points will continue to climb making it feel a bit more humid than yesterday, but still overall a nice day regardless. Our next focus will be to our west as a deepening area of low pressure swings quickly east across the central Plains and eventually MS valley regions.  This will help deliver the well-advertised more potent cold front through the area late Thursday evening and into early Friday morning. Timing has been relatively consistent being around 11PM-1AM for NW areas to around sunrise Friday morning for coastal locations. Models continue to struggle on the potential for increasing winds right along and behind the front.

Winds may be higher along and just behind the front as it passes early Friday. Not talking about anything advisory criteria related, but occasional gusts 15-25mph cannot be ruled out as mentioned before. Another key feature that required a bit more focus for this time frame was the potential for any light rain or drizzle. We are starting to see some models highlighting this potential for rain. A closer look at models shows ample moisture along and right ahead of the front. Given the front’s strength, there is the potential to squeeze out some light showers or drizzle early Friday morning. After that, expect dry conditions once again.

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