1/28 – Rob Knight’s “Wintry Mix/Snow Potential” Forecast

The center of the surface high will move east of the forecast area which will allow for warmer south to southwest surface winds ahead of an arctic front that will move through the region tonight into Tuesday morning. As for the possibility of snow…guidance still suggests that cold arctic air will be able to move into the region while precipitation is still in the area. This particular setup is not really the one that give us the measurable/appreciable snowfall. The area with the best chance of seeing accumulations would be southwest Mississippi counties where somewhat higher precipitation amounts with low level temperatures profiles closer to freezing or below may support some trace to one-half inch snow accumulation.

Areas along and north of I-10/12 would have the best chance of seeing snow and the mix.

I feel like this will be a boom or bust situation for our forecast area as this forecast is very dependent upon the timing of the cold air and precipitation left in the area.

If the cold air moves in with the precip the more frozen precip we will have and the better chance for issues…if the cold air hangs back the precipitation would probably move out of the area before the air arrives. The cold air moves in and the precipitation should start to dry up and exit out of the area Tuesday morning. Everyone should stay aware of the changing forecast for Monday night into Tuesday. After precipitation ends, the concern will be the arctic air bringing the coldest temperatures of the season, and have maintained a HARD FREEZE for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning with low to mid 20s for lows over areas along and north of the I-12 to Mississippi Gulf coast corridor.