09/30 Ryan’s “Seasonal” Monday Morning Forecast

Gone is the cooler weather we saw at the end of last week, with slightly warmer than "seasonal" weather moving in.

After a fall-like start to the weekend, our more “seasonal” late September weather has returned! That means things will be slightly warmer than they should be, though thankfully the humidity will still play nicely for the next couple of days as it inches upwards.

That’ll lead to a slightly-warmer-than-it-should-be morning low near 69 on the coastline, averaging closer to the mid 60s for our inland counties. This afternoon will warm slightly above our late September normal of 85 with a high near 88 with mostly sunny skies. I expect a pop of evening and overnight cloud cover, but tomorrow will largely look like today as cloud cover thins to mostly sunny, with another even warmer (again, slightly) high near 89. By the middle of the week highs will begin to come down thanks to increasing cloud cover, and the chance of rain moving in along with a fairly dry front and tropical moisture in the Gulf.

Tropics: That moisture I just mentioned is currently associated with a 40% chance of development area, the likelihood of which continues to fall. That doesn’t mean it won’t bring rain to the area, but the chance of any significant tropical development or strong tropical system is lowering. We did add Tropical Depression Twelve over the weekend that’ll very likely become “Kirk” by the end of the day. “Leslie” will likely form soon after behind it, way out in the Eastern Atlantic.