07/20 – Brantly’s “Watching the Tropics” Monday Afternoon Forecast

Monday and Tuesday, a typical summertime pattern will dominate. Southeasterly surface winds will enhance the moisture in the region. Rainfall chances will be higher over the marine areas.

A tropical wave will move into the northern Gulf and increase rain chances beginning Wednesday and going through the weekend. Right now, this system has a 20 percent chance of development over the next 5 days as it moves from the Bahamas, through the Florida Straits, and into the Gulf of Mexico.

On the Gulf Coast, persistent southeasterly surface winds will help to enhance moisture moving into the region. High moisture content in the air, especially Thursday and Friday, provide evidence that rainfall potential will be elevated in any storms that form. The best location for storms to form is over the marine waters and right along the coast. These areas could see locally heavy rainfall from some storms, if they continue to sit over the same area.