7/24 – Trey Tonnessen’s “Steady Thunderstorms 5” Wednesday Noon Forecast

Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen

Looking at the temperature structure, one can easily see where we expect the most activity through most of the day. Moisture values remain high and north of 2.0″ today and Thursday so no surprise, precipitation numbers will also remain high. Some areas are becoming saturated and additional rainfall could cause some flooding issues for these locations, but this is not expected to be widespread at the moment. Heavy rainfall and very slight chances of severe will remain along with water/land spout possibilities. The main area of deep moisture will continue to be located over the western and northwestern gulf coast while our precipitation chances will remain high, we are not looking at the amounts that areas to the west will be looking at. There is some indications of this monsoon-like plume will begin to weaken by mid to late next week and we start getting a more easterlies regime started. This would be caused by the Bermuda High ridging well into the gulf by that time.