7/18 – Rob Martin’s “Fewer Storms But Hotter” Monday Night Forecast
Gulfport still had a real-feel temp of 100 at 8 PM tonight…a sign of what’s to come. High pressure is close enough to push temperatures up, but weak enough for a few storms to pop up this week. Real-feel temperatures were over 100 today in most areas. It also means that no frontal boundary will truly reach south Mississippi. Thus, we’re left with a typical summertime pattern. The official forecast for precip chances through Wednesday are around 30% at best, with a slight possibility for strong winds from slight/severe potential.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be a transition back to high-pressure dominating the forecast. That high to the west will be expanding east which will allow for more warming and increased subsidence.
IN FACT, THERE IS ALREADY A HEAT ADVISORY UP IN HANCOCK/PEARL RIVER COUNTIES FOR TUESDAY, WHERE REAL-FEELS UP TO 110° ARE EXPECTED.
We should see afternoon t-storms become more isolated in nature. In addition, above normal temps are expected to possible top out in the mid-90s in the area.
The transition will begin Friday with the center of the high-pressure reaching the lower and mid-Mississippi Valley by Sunday. At the surface we will be on the west side of the Bermuda high which will bring roughly southeasterly and southerly winds. This will bring tropical moisture out of the Caribbean and across the Gulf of Mexico. Where rain does occur, the amounts will be rather The primary concern will be heat with real-feel temps over the area in the low to mid 100s, but approaching the advisory criteria of 108 on Thurs and Fri, especially inland areas.
