7/11 – Rob Martin’s “More Downpours Coming” Monday Night Forecast

A stationary front along the coast will meander there all week long, providing spotty storms and the potential for heavy rain.  If there’s some good news, it is that Tuesday doesn’t look as wet as some of the earlier forecasts had indicated. High temperatures should get close to 90 Tuesday with heat index values topping out around 100, and lower still on Wednesday.

With high pressure to the west and east, there’s really no place for the front over the north central Gulf to go, so it will sit there over 85-87F water. It’ll probably drift a bit northwestward toward our coastal areas tomorrow and Wednesday. Rain chances increase appropriately, getting into the over-50% range across about the southern two thirds of our area, mainly during the daytime hours.

There’s at least some threat of this disturbance to slowly acquire tropical characteristics later in the week as it sits over an abundance of warm water. That isn’t expected to occur in the next couple of days, though. In fact, latest analysis has this happening (if it does) Friday and Saturday, as opposed to the Wed/Thursday outlook just yesterday. Regardless of whether it does acquire tropical characteristics, rain and thunderstorms are going to be an issue for much of the week, especially across the southeast half of our area. Rain amounts through this week could exceed 4-6″. Isolated higher amounts will be possible, but the heaviest rains are now expected later in the week. Clouds and precipitation will hold high temperatures down a bit on Wednesday for most of the area, and perhaps even more so later in the week.