6/4 – Trey Tonnessen’s “Linear Storm System” Monday Evening Forecast

Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen

Troughing will be exiting the area to the east by Thursday morning, leaving a remnant boundary behind. The most likely area for the boundary seems to be in the northern portions of the area. Areas south of the boundary will see enhanced heating due to compressional warming. We will still have quality moisture on Thursday with precipitable water around 1.9-2 inches where the boundary lays up. So, with the heating, moisture and trigger, expect storms to develop in the vicinity of the best surface convergence where the boundary lays up in the area. Drier mid-level air looks to filter into the area Friday, decreasing rain chances while keeping the boundary somewhere in the area. Scattered showers and storms are still possible Friday, but the coverage will be less than Thursday due to the drier air filtering in.