4/8 – Trey Tonnessen’s “Cloud Deck” Monday Night Forecast

Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen

As the surface low deepens late tomorrow night and Wednesday morning, winds in the upper layers will increase from near 35 knots to at or above 50 knots by mid-morning Wednesday. Precipitable water values are expected to increase to nearly 2 inches, which is pretty much at the top of the chart for the first half of April. CAPE, shear, helicity, mid level lapse rates are much more than sufficient for severe weather across much of the area, with severe weather possible from about Interstate 10 northward. Storms could move into western portions of the area as early as  mid morning Wednesday. It should be noted that there are a few model solutions that are a bit slower with convective development on Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined an Enhanced Risk of severe weather for Wednesday from Interstate 10 northward.

As always: A cloudy day is no match for a sunny disposition. Be nice to each other.

-Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen