4/8 – The Chief’s “Eclipse Viewing” Monday Afternoon Forecast

Early Wednesday we will see a cold front moving toward the area with very moisture content for this time of year. If this were stalled over the area, it would not be a problem saying we could see a flood watch issued for Wednesday at some point. Even though the front will be very progressive, there is still a chance that these storms could cause some very high rapid rainfall amounts which could cause some issues for a few locations. The next thing to look at is severe chances. Looking at the synoptic picture, this looks to be a definite case with severe storms. Each model has the same synoptic profile of severe; the only difference is where they bring this high probability field. So, the case that there will be severe storms is a very high probability with high confidence but exactly where that will be will need to be looked at over the next 36 hours.

The time frame is also in question as well but this will also be evaluated over the next 36 hours to see when as well. So at this point, the “what: severe storms with every mode available” is easy to point out but the when (other than broadly naming Wednesday) and where are the two things that need further study. And let’s stack one more item on this, coastal flooding. There will be a window when water levels become high enough Wed to bring some of the coast line into flood advisory levels. After the front, a dry slot moves through with clearing Wednesday night into Thursday, then low clouds move back in for Thursday afternoon and evening, then the final clearing occurs Thursday night. Conditions look dry and nice for the weekend, and the next system that impacts the area looks to be toward the end of next week.