3/16 – Rob Martin’s “Nice Then Stormy” Wednesday Evening Forecast

We’re in a nice little break between weather systems, so expect quiet conditions through St. Patrick’s Day, with nice sleeping temperatures tonight (around 50 degrees) and mild daytime

temperatures in the 70s. The forecast gets active again late Thursday night and early Friday. Our next disturbance is expected to dive SE of the Rockies Thursday night into Friday.

This system will be quite dynamic, with the potential for SEVERE WEATHER along the Mississippi Gulf Coast. This next system does appear to be a slightly stronger version of Tuesday morning’s event with our region in a slight risk (one category higher). As for the severe aspect we will have instability, forcing, and shear to work with. Right now the best chance for severe storms looks to be along and north of the I-10/12 corridor with the greatest concern over SW Mississippi and adjacent LA parishes. The potential threat will include HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WINDS and possibly SMALL HAIL.
This will be moving in around daybreak Friday, again impacting commute time, before moving east by afternoon.

High-pressure will move in this weekend, with seasonable afternoons close to 70 degrees. Weekend overnight temps will range from the mid 40s to lower 50s, just about right for avoiding both AC and heat. We’ll warm up early next week with a bump in humidity.