3/10 – Brittany’s “Colder” Friday Night Forecast

We’ve officially had a cold front make it’s way through our area and can expect colder and drier conditions behind the front for a brief period of time.

Main weather for this period comes on Sunday. A stronger cold front will be approaching the CWA as a fairly deep upper low and trough moves through the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley. SPC outlooks part of the CWA as Marginal and Slight for severe risk. Model soundings show that low level shear is fairly weak, although 0-6km shear is sufficient for severe. Same for instability where mid level lapse rates are quite decent but weak in the lower level due to a possible warm layer inversion. Areas along and south of I-12 that inversion is more pronounced and even in SW Mississippi, it`s still present. Additionally, PW`s are quite minimal for coverage at well below 1.5″. So am not particularly concerned with a real impactful event, but some small to possibly large hail will be possible in SW MS.