10/27 – Rob’s Tuesday Mid-Morning “Tracking Zeta” Forecast


All eyes are on Zeta, as it traverses the Yucatan Peninsula and heads for the Gulf of Mexico. All storm surge, hurricane and tropical storm watches have been upgraded to warnings.

Not much has changed regarding the overall track forecast reasoning as we sit between a mid-level ridge moving eastward across Florida and a developing cut off low and vigorous upper-level disturbance over the southwest. This disturbance will push through Texas on Wednesday as Zeta approaches and the combination of these two systems will force Zeta towards our general area.

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There are still several question marks regarding the overall evolution of things in regards to Zeta, specifically regarding the intensity and interaction with the aforementioned approaching front. The current forecast from the National Hurricane Center brings Zeta into the area as a strong tropical storm or a minimal category 1 hurricane. This would be a good time to reiterate that intensity forecasts are always difficult, and preparations for one category higher than forecast are always recommended.

Regardless of the eventual intensity of Zeta, the good news is that the forward speed of the system at landfall should limit the amount of time the area will experience tropical storm or hurricane conditions.

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Chief Meteorologist Rob Knight is a familiar face along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, having been an on-air personality in the local area since 2005. Rob is originally from New York, but traveled and forecasted weather around the world as an active duty member of the United States Air Force since 1992. In 2005, after 13 years in the USAF, Rob made the transition back to the public sector as an on-air meteorologist, six months prior to Hurricane Katrina. Rob says “Meteorology is not a job for me, it’s my passion. I’m fortunate enough to have been in this wonderfully challenging field since 1992. I solve mysteries. The atmosphere gives you clues and you have to figure out what it’s going to do. How fun is that?” Rob holds a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from Florida Institute of Technology, along with several military degrees. He is also a member of the National Weather Association. When his attention isn’t focused on weather, it’s on real estate. Rob and his wife own a local realty. Rob loves to spend time volunteering in the local community, and often works with the Boys and Girls Club, the Humane Society, and several others. On a cool south Mississippi Saturday morning, Rob is usually at one of the many beautiful golf courses.