We have about a day and a half of quiet weather before rain chances increase and the first real cold front sweeps through the area. High pressure is still in place across the viewing area although it is slowly fading northward. High temperatures should be in the mid to upper 70s along the coast and lower 70s inland away from the water.
Going into Tuesday, high pressure near the Bahamas will steer a weak tropical wave in the southern Gulf of Mexico north towards the Gulf Coast. This tropical wave doesn’t really have a chance of developing into anything significant, but it will provide moisture flow into the area over the next few days. Rain will move in on Tuesday and continue on and off through Thursday. The rain chance goes up to around 70 percent for the middle of the week.
Eventually a cold front will sweep through on Thursday and clear the rain out before Halloween night. Then much colder air will settle in. Friday and Saturday, high temperatures will be in the lower to mid 60s with lows in the lower to mid 40s.
In addition, it will be quite breezy along the coastal counties of South Mississippi. These increasing southeast winds along with approaching spring tides could warrant a Coastal Flood Advisory in the coming days. On the water, seas will be at a light to moderate chop with seas at 1-2 feet today and tomorrow.