2/16 – Brittany’s “Colder Temperatures Ahead” Thursday Night Forecast

As far as threat timing is concerned, the tornado threat peaks this afternoon ahead of the cold front when SRH and surface-based instability is maximized while with the straight-line damaging wind threats as plateaus this afternoon by may extend a few hours into the early evening while the main line of storms ahead of the cold front progresses eastward across the western FL parishes and SW MS. Convection along this line should wane as the surface-based unstable warm sector narrows with the loss of heating and the better jet dynamics aloft pass to our north and northeast.

The next system could be seen by mid next week and at the moment, it looks like a line of showers/thunderstorms with a slight chance of getting a strong or severe ts along the frontal boundary but the best dynamics and instability is being advertised north of the area again in the time frame of Wed or Thu so again any details that we could give at this point would just be conjecture.

As far as threat timing is concerned, the tornado threat peaks this afternoon ahead of the cold front when SRH and surface-based instability is maximized while with the straight-line damaging wind threats as plateaus this afternoon by may extend a few hours into the early evening while the main line of storms ahead of the cold front progresses eastward across the western FL parishes and SW MS. Convection along this line should wane as the surface-based unstable warm sector narrows with the loss of heating and the better jet dynamics aloft pass to our north and northeast.