11/20 – Trey’s “Severe Setup” Monday Night Forecast

Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen

 Monday's overnight main area of severe concern appears to be
southwest Mississippi and adjacent Louisiana parishes which fits the Enhanced area.

Southwest flow aloft will slowly but steadily increase through the
evening and it appears from satellite imagery, that there may be a little more
forcing coming across the western Gulf than what some models were
indicating and more recent models have been favoring coastal
convection. That would cut off much of the land area from the
significant activity overnight, which would be associated with the
front. Prior to that... storms will likely begin to move into the area
around and shortly after 9PM, and this would be associated with the
development of a Low Level Jet; pushing the center right across
southwest MS during the evening hours.
As always: A cloudy day is no match for a sunny disposition.
Be nice to each other.

- Meteorologist Trey Tonnessen -