10/05 – Brantly’s “Scattered Showers/T-Storms” Tuesday Morning Forecast

 Today, the focus will be more toward rainfall rates and not as much on rainfall totals area wide. Rainfall rates in individual storms could be around 2 to 3 inches per hour today and isolated areas could see 2 to 4 inches in a short time causing some localized flooding issues. There is a “Marginal Risk” for excessive rainfall, which is threat level 1 out of 4 on the Weather Prediction Center’s scale, with the best chances of getting rainfall today over coastal Mississippi. Regardless, looking at recent days and weeks, soils are saturated for many locations in and around coastal Mississippi.

A mostly pleasant and quiet forecast period is ahead for the weekend as an area of upper level high pressure shifts east across the Mississippi River. This brings a decrease in rain chances and relative humidity values as dry air pushes into our region. High temperatures remain mostly average in the mid 80s for most parts of the forecast area. Low temperatures stay average in the mid to upper 60s closer to the coast, while northern parts of the forecast area see the low 60s. Heading into the late weekend and early next week, we will start to see a mid to upper level disturbance start to dig down over the Plains and eventually move into our area . This will bring moisture back to the area and as a result will gradually start to increase the rain chances again in the afternoon hours on Monday and into Tuesday.