08/11 – Brantly’s “Typical Summertime Pattern” Wednesday Morning Forecast

 Summer just keeps on keeping on with another toasty day with showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. This persistent upper level ridge will continue over the area and dominate the weather through Thursday. Winds overall will be relatively weak and any big weather system will be pretty much non-existent outside of storm outflow boundaries and the daytime heat driven sea/land breezes. Humidity stays high today as a plume of Gulf moisture moves through the area, which will likely lead to even better rain coverage across the area as storms develop along the boundaries. Storms should begin near the coast and coastal waters during the morning and then progress inland. Storms will likely initiate along the coastal counties around noon to 2 pm with a little later start closer to 2 to 4 pm for inland communities. Some storms will certainly be capable of heavy rainfall and some localized flooding could be possible especially within the urban areas.

Overall the environment will be similar on Thursday, with the only difference being the plume of moisture will have moved slightly west. This will likely lead to higher rain chances; however, most areas will see scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. The same threats will be possible with the storms that develop on Thursday. Temperatures will continue to be warm with highs quickly climbing into the low 90s each day. This coupled with high dewpoints in the 70s will lead to heat indices in the 100 to 105 range. The only thing keeping us from getting to heat advisory criteria will be how quickly storms develop and the more likely coverage over the area.